Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what BX is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$142.50
Method range
$14.12 – $211.23
median $149.40
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $142.50 | +23.54% |
| Exit multiple | $211.23 | +83.12% |
| Analyst target | $156.29 | +35.49% |
| Graham number | $14.12 | -87.76% |
- Forward DCF$142.50
- Exit multiple$211.23
- Analyst target$156.29
- Graham number$14.12
Stock price
$115.35
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.22
3Y FCF CAGR
-20.0%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.33
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
34.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3360.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-20.0%
Your model implies
34.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -20% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 31.6% | 30.9% | 30.3% | 29.6% | 28.8% |
| 11.5% | 33.8% | 33.2% | 32.6% | 32.0% | 31.3% |
| 12.5% | 36.0% | 35.4% | 34.9% | 34.3% | 33.7% |
| 13.5% | 38.0% | 37.6% | 37.1% | 36.5% | 36.0% |
| 14.5% | 40.0% | 39.6% | 39.1% | 38.7% | 38.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$10.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.58
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Blackstone (BX) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation