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Fair Value for Citigroup (C)

See growth priced into Citigroup (C): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what C is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$187.05

Margin of safety
+29.30% vs current price $132.25

Method range

$98.05 $187.05

median $134.65

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$187.05
  • Exit multiple$118.30
  • Analyst target$151.00
  • Graham number$98.05

Stock price

$132.25

EPS (TTM)

$9.26

5Y EPS CAGR

8.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$187.05

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

3.4%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 29.3% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

8.1%

Your model implies

3.4%

Next-year analyst consensus

20.5%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.1%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.1%0.6%0.0%-0.6%-1.3%-2.1%
9.1%2.5%2.0%1.5%0.9%0.2%
10.1%4.3%3.8%3.4%2.9%2.3%
11.1%5.9%5.6%5.1%4.7%4.2%
12.1%7.5%7.2%6.8%6.4%6.0%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday16.1· at high
5Y low5.9
Median11.7
5Y high16.1
P/SToday1.3
5Y low0.6
Median0.9
5Y high1.5
EV/EBITDAToday25.1
5Y low10.6
Median21.0
5Y high25.2

PEG

3.78

Demanding vs growth

Net debt

$366B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.09

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: -2.98 to 10.14 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions