Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CAG is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
—
Method range
$12.65 – $26.61
median $16.00
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | — | — |
| Exit multiple | $26.61 | +104.52% |
| Analyst target | $16.00 | +22.98% |
| Graham number | $12.65 | -2.77% |
- Forward DCF—
- Exit multiple$26.61
- Analyst target$16.00
- Graham number$12.65
Stock price
$13.01
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.98
3Y FCF CAGR
8.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$22.07
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
1.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 41.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
8.4%
Your model implies
1.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 9.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | -1.5% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -3.6% | -4.5% |
| 8.6% | 0.4% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -2.0% |
| 9.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 10.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| 11.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$8.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.00
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Conagra Brands (CAG) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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