Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CCL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$8.14
Method range
$6.31 – $36.15
median $17.15
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $8.14 | -70.30% |
| Exit multiple | $26.15 | -4.59% |
| Analyst target | $36.15 | +31.89% |
| Graham number | $6.31 | -76.99% |
- Forward DCF$8.14
- Exit multiple$26.15
- Analyst target$36.15
- Graham number$6.31
Stock price
$27.41
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.51
3Y FCF CAGR
53.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$108.03
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
31.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 74.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
53.4%
Your model implies
31.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 53% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 28.7% | 28.2% | 27.8% | 27.3% | 26.8% |
| 14.0% | 30.6% | 30.1% | 29.7% | 29.3% | 28.8% |
| 15.0% | 32.4% | 32.0% | 31.6% | 31.2% | 30.8% |
| 15.0% | 32.4% | 32.0% | 31.6% | 31.2% | 30.8% |
| 15.0% | 32.4% | 32.0% | 31.6% | 31.2% | 30.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$26.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
2.33
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Carnival Corporation (CCL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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