CHRW dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.27), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CHRW sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 4, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.27
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.27 | +0.10 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.56% | -0.22pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 35% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.60% | -0.58pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 30 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$0.63
Per-event yield
0.34%
Annualized yield
1.36%
Previously paid
Jun 5, 2026 ($0.63)
Last record date
Jun 5, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 2, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.63 | -1.09% | $184.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.29% | +5.30% | |
| Q1 | $0.63 | -2.49% | $184.81 | 30 | no | yes | -9.09% | -8.00% | |
| Q4 | $0.63 | -0.75% | $158.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.06% | -0.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.62 | -0.68% | $127.84 | 5 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +4.06% | |
| Q2 | $0.62 | 0.53% | $95.51 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.28% | -1.41% | |
| Q1 | $0.62 | -0.33% | $98.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.10% | +0.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.62 | 0.34% | $106.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.52% | +5.49% | |
| Q3 | $0.62 | -0.30% | $102.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.32% | -1.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.61 | -1.41% | $87.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.46% | -4.12% | |
| Q1 | $0.61 | 0.07% | $74.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.10% | -1.57% | |
| Q4 | $0.61 | -0.63% | $81.57 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.83% | +6.20% | |
| Q3 | $0.61 | -2.08% | $94.63 | >30 | no | no | -9.93% | -8.14% | |
| Q2 | $0.61 | 0.00% | $94.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.80% | -2.87% | |
| Q1 | $0.61 | -1.08% | $99.38 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.40% | +4.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.61 | -0.32% | $100.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.45% | -3.52% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.79% | $114.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.30% | +0.60% | |
| Q2 | $0.55 | 0.28% | $108.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.94% | -5.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.55 | 0.13% | $102.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.45% | -0.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | -0.65% | $104.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.89% | -2.59% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | 0.09% | $89.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.64% | -0.28% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with CHRW's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical CHRW ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.28%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
-5.70%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+119.90%
Best event
+0.82%
Worst event
-8.14%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CHRW (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.57% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.65% | |
| -8.14% | |
| +0.75% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.65% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.40% | |
| -8.00% | |
| +0.34% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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