Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what CHRW is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$92.97
Method range
$19.83 – $202.77
median $121.43
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $92.97 | -55.16% |
| Exit multiple | $149.88 | -27.71% |
| Analyst target | $202.77 | -2.21% |
| Graham number | $19.83 | -90.44% |
- Forward DCF$92.97
- Exit multiple$149.88
- Analyst target$202.77
- Graham number$19.83
Stock price
$207.35
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.55
3Y FCF CAGR
153.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$41,543.26
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
47.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
153.1%
Your model implies
47.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 153% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 6.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 42.8% | 41.6% | 40.4% | 38.9% | 37.3% |
| 8.2% | 46.1% | 45.1% | 44.0% | 42.8% | 41.5% |
| 9.2% | 49.2% | 48.3% | 47.4% | 46.4% | 45.2% |
| 10.2% | 52.1% | 51.3% | 50.4% | 49.6% | 48.6% |
| 11.2% | 54.8% | 54.1% | 53.3% | 52.5% | 51.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
4.28
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$1.47B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.92
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks2.61% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.21% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History2 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.