CLX dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 89% /30d touch rate over 19 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Clorox (CLX) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 89% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.42), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, CLX sits noticeably below the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit.
Touch rate (30d)
89%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.42
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 89% | -6pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.42 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.93% | -0.28pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 45% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -5.92% | -1.93pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 15 | — |
The company has not declared a dividend, and we don't have enough recent history to extrapolate a reliable estimate.
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Clorox (CLX). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.24 | -0.76% | $99.61 | 3 | yes | yes | -14.97% | -3.61% | |
| Q1 | $1.24 | -1.46% | $113.19 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.32% | +5.14% | |
| Q4 | $1.24 | -1.22% | $119.89 | >30 | no | no | -10.16% | -6.66% | |
| Q3 | $1.24 | -1.29% | $122.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.31% | -0.27% | |
| Q2 | $1.22 | -1.27% | $142.03 | 5 | yes | yes | -8.65% | +1.05% | |
| Q1 | $1.22 | -0.95% | $159.50 | 2 | yes | yes | -8.97% | -7.73% | |
| Q4 | $1.22 | -1.25% | $159.17 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.44% | -0.90% | |
| Q3 | $1.22 | -0.80% | $143.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.24% | +5.72% | |
| Q2 | $1.20 | 0.00% | $145.14 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.85% | +2.71% | |
| Q1 | $1.20 | -0.13% | $142.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.59% | +2.94% | |
| Q4 | $1.20 | -0.75% | $121.99 | 2 | yes | yes | -5.98% | -2.53% | |
| Q3 | $1.20 | -0.13% | $163.74 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.03% | -3.01% | |
| Q2 | $1.18 | -0.38% | $165.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.45% | +2.23% | |
| Q1 | $1.18 | -0.32% | $142.86 | 6 | no | yes | -3.61% | +2.11% | |
| Q4 | $1.18 | -1.17% | $138.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.99% | +6.71% | |
| Q3 | $1.18 | -3.39% | $147.77 | 15 | no | yes | -8.09% | -1.89% | |
| Q2 | $1.16 | -1.06% | $152.29 | 9 | no | yes | -7.14% | -2.34% | |
| Q1 | $1.16 | -0.79% | $176.95 | >30 | no | no | -21.67% | -3.98% | |
| Q4 | $1.16 | -0.47% | $161.64 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.41% | +3.04% | |
| Q3 | $1.16 | -0.66% | $185.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.17% | -10.99% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 10 | 50% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with CLX's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical CLX ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.01%
Win rate (20 trades)
80%
Cumulative P&L
+0.11%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-34.89%
Best event
+2.11%
Worst event
-6.66%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · CLX (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.62% | |
| +0.72% | |
| -3.98% | |
| -2.34% | |
| -1.89% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +2.11% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.98% | |
| +0.84% | |
| +0.83% | |
| +0.85% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +1.01% | |
| -6.66% | |
| +1.10% | |
| +1.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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