Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what COIN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$470.82
Method range
$29.85 – $470.82
median $142.45
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $470.82 | +208.94% |
| Exit multiple | $29.85 | -80.41% |
| Analyst target | $237.39 | +55.77% |
| Graham number | $47.51 | -68.82% |
- Forward DCF$470.82
- Exit multiple$29.85
- Analyst target$237.39
- Graham number$47.51
Stock price
$152.40
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.69
3Y FCF CAGR
-17.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.92
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
54.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -7840.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-17.2%
Your model implies
54.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 50.5% | 49.9% | 49.3% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| 14.0% | 52.7% | 52.2% | 51.7% | 51.1% | 50.5% |
| 15.0% | 54.9% | 54.5% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 52.9% |
| 15.0% | 54.9% | 54.5% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 52.9% |
| 15.0% | 54.9% | 54.5% | 54.0% | 53.4% | 52.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.73
Low vs growth
Net cash
$3.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
3.32
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Coinbase (COIN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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