Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what COIN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$470.82
Method range
$16.11 – $470.82
median $133.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $470.82 | +183.42% |
| Exit multiple | $16.11 | -90.30% |
| Analyst target | $220.39 | +32.67% |
| Graham number | $47.51 | -71.40% |
- Forward DCF$470.82
- Exit multiple$16.11
- Analyst target$220.39
- Graham number$47.51
Stock price
$166.12
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.69
3Y FCF CAGR
-17.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.92
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
55.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -8,554.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-17.2%
Your model implies
55.4%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -17% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.0% | 51.9% | 51.3% | 50.7% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| 14.0% | 54.2% | 53.6% | 53.1% | 52.5% | 51.9% |
| 15.0% | 56.4% | 55.9% | 55.4% | 54.9% | 54.3% |
| 15.0% | 56.4% | 55.9% | 55.4% | 54.9% | 54.3% |
| 15.0% | 56.4% | 55.9% | 55.4% | 54.9% | 54.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.73
Low vs growth
Net cash
$3.45B
Total debt − cash
Beta
3.35
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Coinbase (COIN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.