Carvana (CVNA) seasonality heatmap
Returns across monthly, quarterly, and yearly periods. Cell color encodes signed magnitude; the scale auto-fits each table.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.0% | -16.7% | -5.9% | +25.9% | -81.6% | -5.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | +21.7% | -5.8% | -10.3% | +16.9% | +33.9% | +3.0% | +15.8% | -4.7% | +1.4% | -18.7% | +22.2% | +12.7% |
| 2024 | -18.7% | +76.3% | +15.8% | -5.7% | +20.6% | +28.7% | +3.5% | +13.1% | +15.6% | +42.0% | +5.3% | -21.9% |
| 2023 | +114.6% | -7.4% | +3.9% | -29.1% | +86.2% | +100.6% | +77.3% | +9.6% | -16.6% | -35.7% | +16.0% | +69.0% |
| 2022 | -30.1% | -7.2% | -20.7% | -51.4% | -49.2% | -23.3% | +29.1% | +13.2% | -38.5% | -33.3% | -43.0% | -38.5% |
| 2021 | +9.0% | +8.5% | -7.4% | +8.7% | -7.1% | +13.9% | +11.8% | -2.8% | -8.1% | +0.5% | -7.5% | -17.3% |
| 2020 | -13.9% | +4.6% | -33.6% | +45.4% | +16.1% | +29.3% | +28.9% | +39.4% | +3.3% | -16.9% | +35.0% | -4.3% |
| 2019 | +13.6% | +20.8% | +29.4% | +23.3% | -19.1% | +8.1% | +1.5% | +27.7% | -18.7% | +22.8% | +17.6% | -3.4% |
| 2018 | -0.2% | +5.0% | +14.4% | +14.3% | +10.1% | +44.2% | +3.4% | +50.6% | -8.7% | -34.4% | +11.7% | -24.4% |
| 2017 | — | — | — | — | -9.5% | +103.7% | -4.6% | -8.6% | -17.8% | -3.4% | +14.3% | +18.0% |
| Avg | +10.1% | +8.7% | -1.6% | +5.4% | +0.0% | +34.2% | +18.5% | +15.3% | -9.8% | -8.6% | +7.9% | -1.1% |
| Median | -0.2% | +4.6% | -5.9% | +14.3% | +1.5% | +28.7% | +11.8% | +13.1% | -8.7% | -16.9% | +14.3% | -4.3% |
| Last 5Y Avg | +16.5% | +7.9% | -3.4% | -8.7% | +2.0% | +24.6% | +27.5% | +5.7% | -9.2% | -9.0% | -1.4% | +0.8% |
| Std Dev (σ) | 42.4% | 27.6% | 19.6% | 29.8% | 45.9% | 43.0% | 25.0% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 27.0% | 22.3% | 31.9% |
| Consistency (μ/σ) | 0.24 | 0.31 | -0.08 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.74 | 0.75 | -0.63 | -0.32 | 0.36 | -0.04 |
| Win Rate (%) | 44% | 56% | 44% | 67% | 50% | 89% | 89% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 78% | 33% |
| Winning / Losing Months | ▲4▼5 | ▲5▼4 | ▲4▼5 | ▲6▼3 | ▲5▼5 | ▲8▼1 | ▲8▼1 | ▲6▼3 | ▲3▼6 | ▲3▼6 | ▲7▼2 | ▲3▼6 |
| Longest Win / Loss Streak | ▲1▼1 | ▲4▼2 | ▲2▼3 | ▲4▼3 | ▲3▼2 | ▲5▼1 | ▲8▼1 | ▲3▼1 | ▲2▼3 | ▲1▼2 | ▲4▼2 | ▲1▼5 |
| Best | +114.6%in January 2023 | +76.3%in February 2024 | +29.4%in March 2019 | +45.4%in April 2020 | +86.2%in May 2023 | +103.7%in June 2017 | +77.3%in July 2023 | +50.6%in August 2018 | +15.6%in September 2024 | +42.0%in October 2024 | +35.0%in November 2020 | +69.0%in December 2023 |
| Worst | -30.1%in January 2022 | -16.7%in February 2026 | -33.6%in March 2020 | -51.4%in April 2022 | -81.6%in May 2026 | -23.3%in June 2022 | -4.6%in July 2017 | -8.6%in August 2017 | -38.5%in September 2022 | -35.7%in October 2023 | -43.0%in November 2022 | -38.5%in December 2022 |
−81.6%+114.6%
2026
Jan-5.0%
Feb-16.7%
Mar-5.9%
Apr+25.9%
May-81.6%
Jun-5.6%
Jul—
Aug—
Sep—
Oct—
Nov—
Dec—
2025
Jan+21.7%
Feb-5.8%
Mar-10.3%
Apr+16.9%
May+33.9%
Jun+3.0%
Jul+15.8%
Aug-4.7%
Sep+1.4%
Oct-18.7%
Nov+22.2%
Dec+12.7%
2024
Jan-18.7%
Feb+76.3%
Mar+15.8%
Apr-5.7%
May+20.6%
Jun+28.7%
Jul+3.5%
Aug+13.1%
Sep+15.6%
Oct+42.0%
Nov+5.3%
Dec-21.9%
2023
Jan+114.6%
Feb-7.4%
Mar+3.9%
Apr-29.1%
May+86.2%
Jun+100.6%
Jul+77.3%
Aug+9.6%
Sep-16.6%
Oct-35.7%
Nov+16.0%
Dec+69.0%
2022
Jan-30.1%
Feb-7.2%
Mar-20.7%
Apr-51.4%
May-49.2%
Jun-23.3%
Jul+29.1%
Aug+13.2%
Sep-38.5%
Oct-33.3%
Nov-43.0%
Dec-38.5%
2021
Jan+9.0%
Feb+8.5%
Mar-7.4%
Apr+8.7%
May-7.1%
Jun+13.9%
Jul+11.8%
Aug-2.8%
Sep-8.1%
Oct+0.5%
Nov-7.5%
Dec-17.3%
2020
Jan-13.9%
Feb+4.6%
Mar-33.6%
Apr+45.4%
May+16.1%
Jun+29.3%
Jul+28.9%
Aug+39.4%
Sep+3.3%
Oct-16.9%
Nov+35.0%
Dec-4.3%
2019
Jan+13.6%
Feb+20.8%
Mar+29.4%
Apr+23.3%
May-19.1%
Jun+8.1%
Jul+1.5%
Aug+27.7%
Sep-18.7%
Oct+22.8%
Nov+17.6%
Dec-3.4%
2018
Jan-0.2%
Feb+5.0%
Mar+14.4%
Apr+14.3%
May+10.1%
Jun+44.2%
Jul+3.4%
Aug+50.6%
Sep-8.7%
Oct-34.4%
Nov+11.7%
Dec-24.4%
2017
Jan—
Feb—
Mar—
Apr—
May-9.5%
Jun+103.7%
Jul-4.6%
Aug-8.6%
Sep-17.8%
Oct-3.4%
Nov+14.3%
Dec+18.0%
Avg
Jan+10.1%
Feb+8.7%
Mar-1.6%
Apr+5.4%
May+0.0%
Jun+34.2%
Jul+18.5%
Aug+15.3%
Sep-9.8%
Oct-8.6%
Nov+7.9%
Dec-1.1%
Median
Jan-0.2%
Feb+4.6%
Mar-5.9%
Apr+14.3%
May+1.5%
Jun+28.7%
Jul+11.8%
Aug+13.1%
Sep-8.7%
Oct-16.9%
Nov+14.3%
Dec-4.3%
Last 5Y Avg
Jan+16.5%
Feb+7.9%
Mar-3.4%
Apr-8.7%
May+2.0%
Jun+24.6%
Jul+27.5%
Aug+5.7%
Sep-9.2%
Oct-9.0%
Nov-1.4%
Dec+0.8%
Std Dev (σ)
Jan42.4%
Feb27.6%
Mar19.6%
Apr29.8%
May45.9%
Jun43.0%
Jul25.0%
Aug20.4%
Sep15.6%
Oct27.0%
Nov22.3%
Dec31.9%
Consistency (μ/σ)
Jan0.24
Feb0.31
Mar-0.08
Apr0.18
May0.00
Jun0.80
Jul0.74
Aug0.75
Sep-0.63
Oct-0.32
Nov0.36
Dec-0.04
Win Rate (%)
Jan44%
Feb56%
Mar44%
Apr67%
May50%
Jun89%
Jul89%
Aug67%
Sep33%
Oct33%
Nov78%
Dec33%
Winning / Losing Months
Jan▲4▼5
Feb▲5▼4
Mar▲4▼5
Apr▲6▼3
May▲5▼5
Jun▲8▼1
Jul▲8▼1
Aug▲6▼3
Sep▲3▼6
Oct▲3▼6
Nov▲7▼2
Dec▲3▼6
Longest Win / Loss Streak
Jan▲1▼1
Feb▲4▼2
Mar▲2▼3
Apr▲4▼3
May▲3▼2
Jun▲5▼1
Jul▲8▼1
Aug▲3▼1
Sep▲2▼3
Oct▲1▼2
Nov▲4▼2
Dec▲1▼5
Best
Jan+114.6%2023
Feb+76.3%2024
Mar+29.4%2019
Apr+45.4%2020
May+86.2%2023
Jun+103.7%2017
Jul+77.3%2023
Aug+50.6%2018
Sep+15.6%2024
Oct+42.0%2024
Nov+35.0%2020
Dec+69.0%2023
Worst
Jan-30.1%2022
Feb-16.7%2026
Mar-33.6%2020
Apr-51.4%2022
May-81.6%2026
Jun-23.3%2022
Jul-4.6%2017
Aug-8.6%2017
Sep-38.5%2022
Oct-35.7%2023
Nov-43.0%2022
Dec-38.5%2022
−81.6%+114.6%
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