Dell Technologies (DELL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 94% of the last 17 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DELL sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Jul 21, 2026 (±1 day), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 94%-1pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.17in line with sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 17 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 94% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.17 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.13% | +0.19pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 59% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.19% | +1.43pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±1 day.
| Dividend | $0.63 |
| Per-event yield | 0.31% |
| Annualized yield | 1.04% |
| Previously paid | Apr 21, 2026 ($0.63) |
| Last record date | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Last payment date | May 1, 2026 |
DELL Dividend Capture History — Last 17 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Dell Technologies (DELL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.63 | 0.79% | $204.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +1.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.53 | -3.34% | $120.53 | 11 | no | yes | -8.55% | -4.43% | |
| Q4 | $0.53 | 0.05% | $147.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.88% | +11.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.53 | -0.74% | $128.96 | 3 | yes | yes | -4.48% | +3.94% | |
| Q2 | $0.53 | 0.62% | $82.39 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.08% | +14.46% | |
| Q1 | $0.45 | 4.75% | $111.55 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.82% | -7.18% | |
| Q4 | $0.45 | -1.24% | $125.66 | 7 | no | yes | -6.24% | -2.85% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -1.39% | $128.74 | >30 | no | no | -29.99% | -15.29% | |
| Q2 | $0.45 | 0.11% | $114.87 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.54% | +11.56% | |
| Q1 | $0.37 | 0.66% | $83.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.19% | +0.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.37 | -0.70% | $65.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.05% | +1.35% | |
| Q3 | $0.37 | 0.39% | $53.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.82% | -0.50% | |
| Q2 | $0.37 | -0.95% | $43.11 | 5 | yes | yes | -3.80% | +2.51% | |
| Q1 | $0.33 | -2.05% | $41.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.75% | -0.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.33 | 1.10% | $34.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.65% | +10.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.33 | 0.26% | $42.90 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.26% | +2.00% | |
| Q2 | $0.33 | -0.61% | $47.44 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.60% | -1.26% |
- +1.14%
- -4.43%
- +11.86%
- +3.94%
- +14.46%
- -7.18%
- -2.85%
- -15.29%
- +11.56%
- +0.71%
- +1.35%
- -0.50%
- +2.51%
- -0.22%
- +10.44%
- +2.00%
- -1.26%
DELL Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 71% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 6% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 6% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 6% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 6% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 6% |
DELL Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with DELL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $126.00
- After-tax dividend
- $81.90
- Slippage round-trip
- -$40.85
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$41.05
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.10%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.1%
DELL Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical DELL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
17 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DELL (17)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.70% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.96% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.86% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.39% | |
| -15.29% | |
| -2.85% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.36% | |
| -4.43% | |
| +0.31% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.