Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DELL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$457.33
Method range
$256.57 – $457.33
median $449.54
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $457.33 | +15.96% |
| Exit multiple | $256.57 | -34.95% |
| Analyst target | $449.54 | +13.98% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$457.33
- Exit multiple$256.57
- Analyst target$449.54
- Graham number—
Stock price
$394.39
FCF / share (TTM)
$4.80
3Y FCF CAGR
155.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$354037.52
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
26.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 99.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
155.9%
Your model implies
26.8%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 156% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 5.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 23.1% | 22.2% | 21.3% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| 8.9% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 24.2% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| 9.9% | 28.1% | 27.5% | 26.8% | 26.0% | 25.2% |
| 10.9% | 30.4% | 29.8% | 29.2% | 28.5% | 27.8% |
| 11.9% | 32.6% | 32.0% | 31.5% | 30.9% | 30.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.19
Low vs growth
Net debt
$20.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.06
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Dell Technologies (DELL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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