DIS dividend capture — median 2d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 6 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Walt Disney (DIS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 6 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 2 trading days (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.29), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, DIS sits materially above the Communication Services sector benchmark of 90%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, so this ticker touches more slowly than peers.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
2d
Signal-to-noise
0.29
TL;DR over the most recent 6 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +10pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 2d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.29 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.49% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 75% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -2.29% | +2.65pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 3 | — |
The company has not declared a dividend, and we don't have enough recent history to extrapolate a reliable estimate.
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Walt Disney (DIS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.75 | -1.24% | $98.63 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.90% | -1.20% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -0.81% | $111.60 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.73% | +1.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | 0.00% | $117.75 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +5.30% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.30% | $113.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.10% | -1.27% | |
| Q3 | $0.45 | -0.31% | $97.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.60% | -0.68% | |
| Q4 | $0.30 | -0.31% | $92.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +1.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | -0.22% | $147.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.32% | +0.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.88 | -1.09% | $142.98 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +1.94% | |
| Q4 | $0.88 | -0.41% | $114.33 | >30 | no | no | -7.17% | -1.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.84 | -0.80% | $105.34 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.23% | +5.22% | |
| Q4 | $0.84 | -0.33% | $105.26 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.12% | +6.51% | |
| Q3 | $0.78 | -0.97% | $105.63 | 9 | no | yes | -2.75% | -0.53% | |
| Q4 | $0.78 | -0.51% | $101.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.51% | +3.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.71 | -0.83% | $98.45 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.33% | +2.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.71 | -0.29% | $111.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.43% | +1.12% | |
| Q3 | $0.66 | 0.71% | $114.14 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.11% | +1.86% | |
| Q4 | $1.15 | -0.59% | $91.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.64% | +2.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.86 | -1.76% | $70.52 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.44% | +4.69% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | -1.63% | $49.59 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.10% | +0.54% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | -1.73% | $36.33 | 5 | yes | yes | -5.01% | +1.49% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 9 | 45% | |
| 2–3 days | 6 | 30% | |
| 4–5 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with DIS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical DIS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.63%
Win rate (20 trades)
90%
Cumulative P&L
+12.60%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+205.04%
Best event
+1.65%
Worst event
-1.09%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · DIS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +1.65% | |
| +1.51% | |
| +1.22% | |
| +1.26% | |
| +0.58% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.76% | |
| -0.53% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.80% | |
| -1.09% | |
| +0.62% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.67% | |
| +0.76% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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