Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DIS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$62.14
Method range
$41.98 – $333.82
median $100.23
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $62.14 | -37.68% |
| Exit multiple | $333.82 | +234.79% |
| Analyst target | $138.33 | +38.73% |
| Graham number | $41.98 | -57.90% |
- Forward DCF$62.14
- Exit multiple$333.82
- Analyst target$138.33
- Graham number$41.98
Stock price
$99.71
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.80
3Y FCF CAGR
50.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$836.36
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 88.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
50.4%
Your model implies
18.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 50% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| 10.5% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| 11.5% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| 12.5% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| 13.5% | 23.4% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 21.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$39.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.39
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Walt Disney (DIS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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