Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DIS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$61.23
Method range
$41.98 – $332.47
median $95.68
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $61.23 | -36.13% |
| Exit multiple | $332.47 | +246.79% |
| Analyst target | $130.13 | +35.74% |
| Graham number | $41.98 | -56.21% |
- Forward DCF$61.23
- Exit multiple$332.47
- Analyst target$130.13
- Graham number$41.98
Stock price
$95.87
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.80
3Y FCF CAGR
50.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$816.99
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 88.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
50.4%
Your model implies
18.5%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 50% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 7.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| 10.7% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.2% |
| 11.7% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.4% |
| 12.7% | 21.2% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| 13.7% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 21.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$39.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.40
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Walt Disney (DIS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks4.42% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.56% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History16 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.