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Fair Value for Duke Energy (DUK)

See growth priced into Duke Energy (DUK): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what DUK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,410.23

Margin of safety
+90.93% vs current price $127.95

Method range

$56.02 $1,410.23

median $127.86

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,410.23
  • Exit multiple$118.72
  • Analyst target$137.00
  • Graham number$56.02

Stock price

$127.95

EPS (TTM)

$6.53

5Y EPS CAGR

29.7%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$1,410.23

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

-0.6%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 90.9% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

29.7%

Your model implies

-0.6%

Next-year analyst consensus

2.7%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)6.5%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.0%-3.1%-4.3%-5.8%-7.6%-9.9%
5.5%-1.5%-2.6%-3.8%-5.3%-7.1%
6.5%1.1%0.3%-0.6%-1.7%-3.0%
7.5%3.5%2.8%2.0%1.2%0.2%
8.5%5.6%5.0%4.4%3.7%2.9%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday18.6
5Y low17.9
Median18.9
5Y high32.5
P/SToday2.8
5Y low2.6
Median2.8
5Y high3.3
EV/EBITDAToday11.6
5Y low11.2
Median11.6
5Y high12.5

PEG

0.53

Low vs growth

Net debt

$90.6B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.37

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 1.72 to 6.31 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions