Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what DUK is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,448.90
Method range
$56.02 – $1,448.90
median $125.66
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,448.90 | +1,066.40% |
| Exit multiple | $116.11 | -6.53% |
| Analyst target | $135.20 | +8.84% |
| Graham number | $56.02 | -54.91% |
- Forward DCF$1,448.90
- Exit multiple$116.11
- Analyst target$135.20
- Graham number$56.02
Stock price
$124.22
EPS (TTM)
$6.53
5Y EPS CAGR
29.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1448.90
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-1.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 91.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
29.7%
Your model implies
-1.3%
Next-year analyst consensus
2.6%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -6.1% | -7.9% | -10.3% |
| 5.4% | -2.1% | -3.2% | -4.5% | -6.0% | -7.8% |
| 6.4% | 0.6% | -0.3% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -3.6% |
| 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | -0.4% |
| 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.52
Low vs growth
Net debt
$90.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.38
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Duke Energy (DUK) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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