Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EPAM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$83.32
Method range
$46.92 – $480.85
median $117.23
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $83.32 | -15.01% |
| Exit multiple | $480.85 | +390.46% |
| Analyst target | $151.14 | +54.16% |
| Graham number | $46.92 | -52.14% |
- Forward DCF$83.32
- Exit multiple$480.85
- Analyst target$151.14
- Graham number$46.92
Stock price
$98.04
EPS (TTM)
$6.97
5Y EPS CAGR
3.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$83.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
6.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -17.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
3.7%
Your model implies
6.1%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 87.1% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| 10.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| 11.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| 12.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$1.2B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.45
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
EPAM Systems (EPAM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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