Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what ES is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$102.48
Method range
$39.95 – $104.48
median $88.81
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $102.48 | +37.64% |
| Exit multiple | $104.48 | +40.32% |
| Analyst target | $75.14 | +0.91% |
| Graham number | $39.95 | -46.34% |
- Forward DCF$102.48
- Exit multiple$104.48
- Analyst target$75.14
- Graham number$39.95
Stock price
$74.46
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.84
3Y FCF CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$22.91
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
23.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -225.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 13.6% |
| 7.2% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| 8.2% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 23.5% | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| 9.2% | 27.8% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 25.4% | 24.5% |
| 10.2% | 30.1% | 29.5% | 28.8% | 28.1% | 27.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.25
Low vs growth
Net debt
$30.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.71
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Eversource Energy (ES) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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