Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EXC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$94.29
Method range
$24.04 – $94.29
median $45.76
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $94.29 | +106.09% |
| Exit multiple | $42.60 | -6.88% |
| Analyst target | $48.91 | +6.91% |
| Graham number | $24.04 | -47.45% |
- Forward DCF$94.29
- Exit multiple$42.60
- Analyst target$48.91
- Graham number$24.04
Stock price
$45.75
EPS (TTM)
$2.74
5Y EPS CAGR
6.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$94.29
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-2.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 51.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
6.4%
Your model implies
-2.4%
Next-year analyst consensus
4.1%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -5.0% | -6.2% | -7.6% | -9.4% | -11.6% |
| 5.6% | -3.2% | -4.3% | -5.4% | -6.8% | -8.5% |
| 6.6% | -0.7% | -1.5% | -2.4% | -3.4% | -4.6% |
| 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | -0.7% | -1.6% |
| 8.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.25
Low vs growth
Net debt
$49.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.41
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Exelon (EXC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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