Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EXE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$19.77
Method range
$19.77 – $135.00
median $57.18
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $19.77 | -78.53% |
| Exit multiple | $20.24 | -78.02% |
| Analyst target | $135.00 | +46.63% |
| Graham number | $94.11 | +2.21% |
- Forward DCF$19.77
- Exit multiple$20.24
- Analyst target$135.00
- Graham number$94.11
Stock price
$92.07
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.07
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$116.72
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-6.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 21.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.8%
Your model implies
-6.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -7.9% | -9.0% | -10.4% | -12.1% | -14.2% |
| 5.2% | -7.4% | -8.5% | -9.8% | -11.4% | -13.3% |
| 6.2% | -4.9% | -5.7% | -6.6% | -7.7% | -9.0% |
| 7.2% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -4.9% | -5.8% |
| 8.2% | -0.6% | -1.2% | -1.8% | -2.4% | -3.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.05
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.32
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
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