Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EXE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$19.64
Method range
$19.59 – $129.00
median $56.87
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $19.64 | -78.92% |
| Exit multiple | $19.59 | -78.97% |
| Analyst target | $129.00 | +38.46% |
| Graham number | $94.11 | +1.01% |
- Forward DCF$19.64
- Exit multiple$19.59
- Analyst target$129.00
- Graham number$94.11
Stock price
$93.17
FCF / share (TTM)
$7.07
3Y FCF CAGR
-3.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$112.80
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-6.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 17.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-3.8%
Your model implies
-6.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -4% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -7.8% | -8.9% | -10.3% | -11.9% | -14.1% |
| 5.3% | -6.9% | -8.0% | -9.2% | -10.6% | -12.5% |
| 6.3% | -4.4% | -5.2% | -6.1% | -7.2% | -8.4% |
| 7.3% | -2.2% | -2.8% | -3.5% | -4.4% | -5.3% |
| 8.3% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -2.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.05
Low vs growth
Net debt
$4.36B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.33
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Expand Energy (EXE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.