Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what EXPE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$403.23
Method range
$19.83 – $495.50
median $337.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $403.23 | +54.45% |
| Exit multiple | $495.50 | +89.79% |
| Analyst target | $271.93 | +4.16% |
| Graham number | $19.83 | -92.41% |
- Forward DCF$403.23
- Exit multiple$495.50
- Analyst target$271.93
- Graham number$19.83
Stock price
$261.08
FCF / share (TTM)
$30.76
3Y FCF CAGR
3.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$406.27
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-2.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 35.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
3.5%
Your model implies
-2.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 4% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 8.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | -5.3% | -5.7% | -6.2% | -6.7% | -7.3% |
| 9.8% | -3.7% | -4.1% | -4.5% | -4.9% | -5.4% |
| 10.8% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -2.9% | -3.2% | -3.7% |
| 11.8% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -2.0% |
| 12.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
11.40
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$307M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.23
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Expedia Group (EXPE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks8.30% TTM
- Dividend Profile0.67% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.