Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$29.02
Method range
$18.58 – $59.80
median $40.22
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $29.02 | -37.49% |
| Exit multiple | $59.80 | +28.83% |
| Analyst target | $51.43 | +10.79% |
| Graham number | $18.58 | -59.98% |
- Forward DCF$29.02
- Exit multiple$59.80
- Analyst target$51.43
- Graham number$18.58
Stock price
$46.42
EPS (TTM)
$1.84
5Y EPS CAGR
-2.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$29.02
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
3.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -60.0% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-2.4%
Your model implies
3.3%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 48.9% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -3.0% | -4.8% | -7.3% |
| 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | -1.2% | -2.8% |
| 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$27.0B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.46
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
FirstEnergy (FE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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