Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FE is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$28.41
Method range
$18.58 – $59.79
median $40.58
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $28.41 | -42.40% |
| Exit multiple | $59.79 | +21.20% |
| Analyst target | $52.75 | +6.93% |
| Graham number | $18.58 | -62.34% |
- Forward DCF$28.41
- Exit multiple$59.79
- Analyst target$52.75
- Graham number$18.58
Stock price
$49.33
EPS (TTM)
$1.84
5Y EPS CAGR
-2.4%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$28.41
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
4.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -73.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-2.4%
Your model implies
4.4%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 48.9% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 0.6% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -4.2% | -6.6% |
| 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$27B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.45
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
FirstEnergy (FE) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History1 split
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.