Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FER is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$31.11
Method range
$31.11 – $70.93
median $41.45
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $31.11 | -51.48% |
| Exit multiple | $41.45 | -35.36% |
| Analyst target | $70.93 | +10.62% |
| Graham number | — | — |
- Forward DCF$31.11
- Exit multiple$41.45
- Analyst target$70.93
- Graham number—
Stock price
$64.12
EPS (TTM)
$0.90
5Y EPS CAGR
12.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$31.11
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
21.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -106.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
12.1%
Your model implies
21.7%
Next-year analyst consensus
9.2%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% |
| 7.7% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.7% |
| 8.7% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 19.9% |
| 9.7% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 22.7% |
| 10.7% | 27.9% | 27.3% | 26.7% | 26.0% | 25.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$6.49B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.80
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Ferrovial (FER) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks1.23% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.01% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.