FUL dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
H.B. Fuller (FUL) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.12), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, FUL sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Oct 25, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.12
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.12 | -0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.40% | in line with sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 47% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.57% | +1.37pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 13 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.25
Per-event yield
0.44%
Annualized yield
1.73%
Previously paid
Jul 30, 2026 ($0.25)
Last record date
Jul 30, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 13, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for H.B. Fuller (FUL). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 | $0.25 | 0.79% | $55.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.41% | — | |
| Q2 | $0.25 | 0.00% | $59.84 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.61% | +1.80% | |
| Q1 | $0.24 | -1.34% | $66.66 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.39% | +0.37% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | 0.08% | $59.21 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.74% | +2.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -2.12% | $57.08 | 4 | yes | yes | -4.36% | -0.83% | |
| Q2 | $0.24 | -0.28% | $54.29 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.54% | -1.61% | |
| Q1 | $0.22 | 0.21% | $60.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.79% | -0.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.22 | -0.10% | $80.64 | >30 | no | no | -7.91% | -6.88% | |
| Q3 | $0.22 | 0.29% | $86.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.09% | -9.09% | |
| Q2 | $0.22 | -0.80% | $76.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.32% | -0.97% | |
| Q1 | $0.21 | -0.03% | $75.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.21% | +1.82% | |
| Q4 | $0.21 | -1.39% | $70.54 | 13 | no | yes | -8.36% | -7.69% | |
| Q3 | $0.21 | 0.04% | $73.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.57% | +1.84% | |
| Q2 | $0.21 | -0.95% | $67.40 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.77% | -5.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.19 | -0.24% | $73.93 | >30 | no | no | -5.84% | -2.61% | |
| Q4 | $0.19 | -1.51% | $67.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.73% | +0.50% | |
| Q3 | $0.19 | -1.65% | $59.44 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.50% | +3.30% | |
| Q2 | $0.19 | 0.78% | $71.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.36% | -5.58% | |
| Q1 | $0.17 | 0.07% | $69.53 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.83% | +2.83% | |
| Q4 | $0.17 | 0.19% | $64.02 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.94% | +7.20% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 14 | 70% | |
| 2–3 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with FUL's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical FUL ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.58%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-11.59%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-6.88%
Best event
+0.44%
Worst event
-7.69%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · FUL (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.26% | |
| +0.24% | |
| +0.26% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.28% | |
| -2.61% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| -7.69% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.29% | |
| +0.26% | |
| -6.88% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.44% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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