Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what FUL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$45.32
Method range
$18.07 – $104.52
median $56.79
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $45.32 | -24.31% |
| Exit multiple | $104.52 | +74.55% |
| Analyst target | $68.25 | +13.98% |
| Graham number | $18.07 | -69.83% |
- Forward DCF$45.32
- Exit multiple$104.52
- Analyst target$68.25
- Graham number$18.07
Stock price
$59.88
EPS (TTM)
$2.90
5Y EPS CAGR
3.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$45.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
6.8%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -32.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
3.1%
Your model implies
6.8%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 62.8% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% |
| 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.96
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
H.B. Fuller (FUL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation