Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GNRC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$11.19
Method range
$11.19 – $304.76
median $157.97
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $11.19 | -95.72% |
| Exit multiple | $304.76 | +16.52% |
| Analyst target | $280.00 | +7.06% |
| Graham number | $35.94 | -86.26% |
- Forward DCF$11.19
- Exit multiple$304.76
- Analyst target$280.00
- Graham number$35.94
Stock price
$261.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.54
3Y FCF CAGR
-0.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$10.90
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
48.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2299.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-0.9%
Your model implies
48.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 44.5% | 43.9% | 43.3% | 42.7% | 42.0% |
| 13.2% | 46.8% | 46.2% | 45.7% | 45.1% | 44.5% |
| 14.2% | 49.0% | 48.5% | 48.0% | 47.4% | 46.9% |
| 15.0% | 50.6% | 50.1% | 49.6% | 49.1% | 48.6% |
| 15.0% | 50.6% | 50.1% | 49.6% | 49.1% | 48.6% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$992M
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.94
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Generac (GNRC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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