Ticker League

Fair Value for Alphabet (GOOGL)

See growth priced into Alphabet (GOOGL): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what GOOGL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$1,697.69

Margin of safety
+79.85% vs current price $342.09

Method range

$104.64 $1,697.69

median $364.63

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$1,697.69
  • Exit multiple$309.13
  • Analyst target$420.14
  • Graham number$104.64

Stock price

$342.09

EPS (TTM)

$19.91

5Y EPS CAGR

29.8%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$1,697.69

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

7.3%

per year over your projection horizon

Discount vs DCF

Margin of safety 79.8% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

29.8%

Your model implies

7.3%

Next-year analyst consensus

-28.0%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)10.9%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
8.9%4.6%4.0%3.4%2.8%2.1%
9.9%6.4%6.0%5.5%4.9%4.3%
10.9%8.2%7.8%7.3%6.9%6.3%
11.9%9.9%9.5%9.1%8.7%8.2%
12.9%11.5%11.2%10.8%10.4%10.0%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday28.7· at high
5Y low19.2
Median23.9
5Y high28.7
P/SToday9.4· at high
5Y low4.1
Median6.7
5Y high9.4
EV/EBITDAToday21.2· at high
5Y low13.6
Median18.0
5Y high21.2

PEG

0.12

Low vs growth

Net debt

$28.6B

Total debt − cash

Beta

1.25

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 0.81 to 10.81 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions