Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GOOGL is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1,121.53
Method range
$67.86 – $1,121.53
median $359.04
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1,121.53 | +204.33% |
| Exit multiple | $306.28 | -16.89% |
| Analyst target | $411.80 | +11.74% |
| Graham number | $67.86 | -81.59% |
- Forward DCF$1,121.53
- Exit multiple$306.28
- Analyst target$411.80
- Graham number$67.86
Stock price
$368.53
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.84
3Y FCF CAGR
4.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$12.12
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
54.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -2939.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
4.9%
Your model implies
54.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 5% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.9% | 50.6% | 49.6% | 48.6% | 47.5% | 46.3% |
| 9.9% | 53.6% | 52.7% | 51.9% | 50.9% | 49.9% |
| 10.9% | 56.4% | 55.7% | 54.9% | 54.0% | 53.1% |
| 11.9% | 59.1% | 58.4% | 57.7% | 56.9% | 56.1% |
| 12.9% | 61.7% | 61.0% | 60.4% | 59.7% | 59.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.17
Low vs growth
Net debt
$28.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.27
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Alphabet (GOOGL) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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