GPC dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 90% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Genuine Parts (GPC) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 90% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.35), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, GPC sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 4, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
90%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.35
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 90% | -5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.35 | +0.14 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.53% | -0.11pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.75% | +0.75pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 9 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
Dividend
$1.06
Per-event yield
1.08%
Annualized yield
4.26%
Previously paid
Jun 5, 2026 ($1.06)
Last record date
Jun 5, 2026
Last payment date
Jul 2, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Genuine Parts (GPC). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.06 | -0.98% | $98.63 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.60% | +6.27% | |
| Q1 | $1.06 | -1.82% | $117.11 | >30 | no | no | -16.20% | -8.80% | |
| Q4 | $1.03 | -1.00% | $130.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.36% | +1.73% | |
| Q3 | $1.03 | -0.57% | $141.25 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.61% | +0.75% | |
| Q2 | $1.03 | -0.31% | $126.16 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.06% | -4.32% | |
| Q1 | $1.03 | -1.08% | $125.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.41% | -2.30% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | 0.30% | $124.62 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.09% | -1.93% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.75% | $137.34 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.66% | +0.74% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | -1.09% | $144.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.75% | -4.78% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -0.23% | $151.75 | 6 | no | yes | -2.61% | +0.05% | |
| Q4 | $0.95 | -0.13% | $133.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.55% | +1.02% | |
| Q3 | $0.95 | -0.78% | $151.78 | >30 | no | no | -3.51% | -0.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.95 | 0.95% | $148.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.68% | +4.14% | |
| Q1 | $0.95 | -1.13% | $170.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.12% | -2.44% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.11% | $183.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.37% | +1.74% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -0.83% | $156.01 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.51% | +4.93% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | -0.35% | $135.82 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.84% | +3.43% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | -0.23% | $124.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.40% | -1.01% | |
| Q4 | $0.82 | 0.03% | $126.38 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.03% | +6.82% | |
| Q3 | $0.82 | -0.52% | $122.96 | 9 | no | yes | -4.26% | -3.06% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 2 | 10% |
Pre-filled with GPC's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical GPC ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.04%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-0.79%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-4.52%
Best event
+1.08%
Worst event
-8.80%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · GPC (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -3.06% | |
| +0.64% | |
| +0.72% | |
| +0.66% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.64% | |
| -0.42% | |
| +0.71% | |
| +0.05% | |
| +0.69% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.80% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.82% | |
| +0.73% | |
| +0.79% | |
| -8.80% | |
| +1.08% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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