Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what GPC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$0.86
Method range
$0.86 – $147.86
median $86.71
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $0.86 | -99.13% |
| Exit multiple | $147.86 | +50.65% |
| Analyst target | $141.75 | +44.42% |
| Graham number | $31.66 | -67.74% |
- Forward DCF$0.86
- Exit multiple$147.86
- Analyst target$141.75
- Graham number$31.66
Stock price
$98.15
EPS (TTM)
$0.43
5Y EPS CAGR
-30.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$0.86
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
35.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -11331.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-30.7%
Your model implies
35.7%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 1688% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 30.9% | 29.5% | 27.9% | 26.1% | 23.9% |
| 6.9% | 34.5% | 33.4% | 32.1% | 30.6% | 29.0% |
| 7.9% | 37.7% | 36.7% | 35.7% | 34.5% | 33.2% |
| 8.9% | 40.7% | 39.8% | 38.9% | 37.9% | 36.8% |
| 9.9% | 43.4% | 42.7% | 41.8% | 41.0% | 40.0% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$7.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.68
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Genuine Parts (GPC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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