Hasbro (HAS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.37), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HAS sits roughly in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 31, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.37+0.16 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.37 | +0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.77% | -0.30pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 60% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.94% | +0.74pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
| Dividend | $0.70 |
| Per-event yield | 0.68% |
| Annualized yield | 3.29% |
| Previously paid | Feb 18, 2026 ($0.70) |
| Last record date | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 4, 2026 |
HAS Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Hasbro (HAS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.53% | $102.23 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.15% | -1.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -0.97% | $76.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.66% | +9.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.79% | $80.05 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.94% | +2.76% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -1.52% | $68.36 | 14 | no | yes | -5.30% | -1.26% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -1.08% | $65.11 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.32% | -0.74% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -1.83% | $61.76 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +4.58% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.14% | $65.88 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.67% | +3.86% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -1.51% | $64.28 | >30 | no | no | -7.11% | -3.76% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -1.38% | $50.68 | 7 | no | yes | -9.06% | -0.16% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -1.69% | $45.04 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.28% | +2.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | 2.92% | $62.70 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.88% | +4.43% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | 0.80% | $58.93 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.70% | +3.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.70 | -0.68% | $58.94 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.06% | +3.27% | |
| Q4 | $0.70 | -1.16% | $65.73 | 2 | yes | yes | -12.40% | -3.97% | |
| Q3 | $0.70 | -0.69% | $79.65 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.06% | -1.31% | |
| Q2 | $0.70 | -0.99% | $90.46 | 3 | yes | yes | -3.82% | +2.39% | |
| Q1 | $0.68 | -1.32% | $89.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.63% | +4.12% | |
| Q4 | $0.68 | -1.48% | $96.59 | 7 | no | yes | -4.68% | +0.09% | |
| Q3 | $0.68 | -0.62% | $100.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.80% | -1.81% | |
| Q2 | $0.68 | -0.86% | $99.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.55% | +0.75% |
- -1.74%
- +9.64%
- +2.76%
- -1.26%
- -0.74%
- +4.58%
- +3.86%
- -3.76%
- -0.16%
- +2.44%
- +4.43%
- +3.65%
- +3.27%
- -3.97%
- -1.31%
- +2.39%
- +4.12%
- +0.09%
- -1.81%
- +0.75%
HAS Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 13 | 65% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
HAS Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HAS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $140.00
- After-tax dividend
- $91.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$20.45
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$70.55
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.35%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~17.4%
HAS Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HAS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HAS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.69% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.09% | |
| +0.76% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.88% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.19% | |
| +1.12% | |
| +1.55% | |
| -0.16% | |
| -3.76% | |
| +1.06% | |
| +1.13% | |
| +1.08% | |
| -1.26% | |
| +0.87% | |
| +0.92% | |
| +0.68% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.