Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 19 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.25), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, HII sits roughly in line with the Industrials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 28, 2026 (±0 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 100%+5pp vs sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.25+0.07 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 19 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.25 | +0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.57% | -0.21pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.04% | in line with sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 14 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Estimated from historical pattern ±0 days.
| Dividend | $1.38 |
| Per-event yield | 0.31% |
| Annualized yield | 1.78% |
| Previously paid | Feb 27, 2026 ($1.38) |
| Last record date | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Mar 13, 2026 |
HII Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $1.38 | -0.30% | $443.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.98% | -2.82% | |
| Q4 | $1.38 | -0.34% | $314.31 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.49% | -2.66% | |
| Q3 | $1.35 | -0.21% | $275.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.09% | -1.45% | |
| Q2 | $1.35 | -0.87% | $223.68 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.86% | +1.86% | |
| Q1 | $1.35 | -0.64% | $174.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.78% | +13.22% | |
| Q4 | $1.35 | -0.59% | $199.37 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.83% | -5.05% | |
| Q3 | $1.30 | -0.40% | $282.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -10.37% | -4.89% | |
| Q2 | $1.30 | -0.62% | $251.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.81% | -0.28% | |
| Q1 | $1.30 | -0.24% | $288.13 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.26% | +1.66% | |
| Q4 | $1.30 | -0.85% | $239.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.57% | -0.40% | |
| Q3 | $1.24 | -0.93% | $220.22 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.48% | +0.61% | |
| Q2 | $1.24 | -1.26% | $202.05 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.73% | +3.30% | |
| Q1 | $1.24 | -0.67% | $220.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.66% | -0.90% | |
| Q4 | $1.24 | -0.90% | $230.41 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.47% | +0.75% | |
| Q3 | $1.18 | -0.01% | $239.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.64% | -4.46% | |
| Q2 | $1.18 | 0.19% | $206.12 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.19% | +3.83% | |
| Q1 | $1.18 | -0.88% | $187.39 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.03% | +13.23% | |
| Q4 | $1.18 | -0.77% | $189.22 | 14 | no | yes | -7.25% | -5.15% | |
| Q3 | $1.14 | -0.55% | $206.22 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.98% | +0.02% | |
| Q2 | $1.14 | 0.74% | $212.78 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.00% | +4.99% |
- -2.82%
- -2.66%
- -1.45%
- +1.86%
- +13.22%
- -5.05%
- -4.89%
- -0.28%
- +1.66%
- -0.40%
- +0.61%
- +3.30%
- -0.90%
- +0.75%
- -4.46%
- +3.83%
- +13.23%
- -5.15%
- +0.02%
- +4.99%
HII Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
HII Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with HII's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $276.00
- After-tax dividend
- $179.40
- Slippage round-trip
- -$88.60
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$90.80
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.10%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~5.2%
HII Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical HII ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · HII (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.54% | |
| +0.55% | |
| -5.15% | |
| +0.63% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.56% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.68% | |
| +0.77% | |
| +0.60% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.31% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.