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Fair Value for Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII)

See growth priced into Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII): reverse DCF, implied rate vs history and analysts, FCF view. Free intrinsic value calculator for education.

Fair value (multi-method)

Four independent methods triangulate what HII is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.

Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)

$311.90

Near fair value
+11.10% vs current price $277.28

Method range

$105.70 $360.33

median $280.09

Methods disagree

Valuation methods

Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.

  • Forward DCF$311.90
  • Exit multiple$248.28
  • Analyst target$360.33
  • Graham number$105.70

Stock price

$277.28

EPS (TTM)

$15.37

5Y EPS CAGR

-2.1%

Fair value @ hist. growth

$311.90

This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.

Implied EPS growth

-3.5%

per year over your projection horizon

Near DCF fair value

Margin of safety 11.1% vs hist-growth DCF

Historical 5Y CAGR

-2.1%

Your model implies

-3.5%

Next-year analyst consensus

12.5%

Model inputs

Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.

Discount rate (cost of equity proxy)5.9%
Terminal growth2.50%
Projection years10 yr

Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions

Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.

Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%
5.0%-4.1%-5.3%-6.7%-8.5%-10.8%
5.0%-4.1%-5.3%-6.7%-8.5%-10.8%
5.9%-1.5%-2.4%-3.5%-4.8%-6.3%
6.9%1.0%0.2%-0.6%-1.6%-2.7%
7.9%3.2%2.6%1.9%1.1%0.2%
Color≤ historical CAGRModerate premiumHigh premium (≥ 15pp above hist)Your inputs

Historical multiples

Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.

P/EToday22.1· at high
5Y low13.5
Median15.2
5Y high22.1
P/SToday1.1· at high
5Y low0.6
Median0.9
5Y high1.1
EV/EBITDAToday13.0· at high
5Y low9.4
Median10.1
5Y high13.0

Net debt

$2.37B

Total debt − cash

Beta

0.25

Vs market benchmark

Annual diluted EPS

Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.

Scale: 2.91 to 19.09 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.

Frequently asked questions