Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what HII is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$330.16
Method range
$105.70 – $420.00
median $289.82
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $330.16 | +12.67% |
| Exit multiple | $249.48 | -14.87% |
| Analyst target | $420.00 | +43.33% |
| Graham number | $105.70 | -63.93% |
- Forward DCF$330.16
- Exit multiple$249.48
- Analyst target$420.00
- Graham number$105.70
Stock price
$293.04
EPS (TTM)
$15.37
5Y EPS CAGR
-2.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$330.16
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
-3.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 11.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-2.1%
Your model implies
-3.5%
Next-year analyst consensus
12.8%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -6.1% | -7.9% | -10.2% |
| 5.0% | -3.4% | -4.7% | -6.1% | -7.9% | -10.2% |
| 5.7% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -4.9% | -6.5% |
| 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -2.7% |
| 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$2.4B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.23
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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