Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what J is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$37.78
Method range
$27.09 – $156.17
median $90.85
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $37.78 | -69.17% |
| Exit multiple | $143.93 | +17.44% |
| Analyst target | $156.17 | +27.43% |
| Graham number | $27.09 | -77.90% |
- Forward DCF$37.78
- Exit multiple$143.93
- Analyst target$156.17
- Graham number$27.09
Stock price
$122.55
EPS (TTM)
$3.25
5Y EPS CAGR
-3.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$37.78
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
11.4%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -224.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
-3.7%
Your model implies
11.4%
Analyst consensus for next year implies 123% — beyond the model's annualised scale. Consensus reflects a one-step EPS estimate vs TTM, not a multi-year CAGR.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| 8.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% |
| 9.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| 10.0% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.62
Low vs growth
Net debt
$1.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.68
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Jacobs Solutions (J) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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