Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what JBHT is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$93.63
Method range
$35.54 – $233.47
median $140.61
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $93.63 | -67.14% |
| Exit multiple | $187.59 | -34.17% |
| Analyst target | $233.47 | -18.07% |
| Graham number | $35.54 | -87.53% |
- Forward DCF$93.63
- Exit multiple$187.59
- Analyst target$233.47
- Graham number$35.54
Stock price
$284.95
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.55
3Y FCF CAGR
39.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$396.06
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
34.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 28.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
39.1%
Your model implies
34.2%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 39% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 30.6% | 29.8% | 29.0% | 28.1% | 27.2% |
| 10.1% | 33.1% | 32.4% | 31.7% | 30.9% | 30.1% |
| 11.1% | 35.4% | 34.8% | 34.2% | 33.5% | 32.8% |
| 12.1% | 37.7% | 37.1% | 36.5% | 35.9% | 35.3% |
| 13.1% | 39.8% | 39.3% | 38.8% | 38.2% | 37.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$1.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.30
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
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