Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KEY is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$24.83
Method range
$14.13 – $24.83
median $21.48
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $24.83 | +14.09% |
| Exit multiple | $19.64 | -9.75% |
| Analyst target | $23.33 | +7.22% |
| Graham number | $14.13 | -35.06% |
- Forward DCF$24.83
- Exit multiple$19.64
- Analyst target$23.33
- Graham number$14.13
Stock price
$21.76
EPS (TTM)
$1.63
5Y EPS CAGR
3.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$24.83
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
1.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 12.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
3.7%
Your model implies
1.9%
Next-year analyst consensus
11.9%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -3.7% |
| 8.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.3% |
| 9.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| 10.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| 11.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.24
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$9.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.05
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
KeyCorp (KEY) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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