Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KMB is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$120.89
Method range
$15.62 – $165.72
median $111.28
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $120.89 | +22.06% |
| Exit multiple | $165.72 | +67.33% |
| Analyst target | $101.67 | +2.66% |
| Graham number | $15.62 | -84.23% |
- Forward DCF$120.89
- Exit multiple$165.72
- Analyst target$101.67
- Graham number$15.62
Stock price
$99.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.97
3Y FCF CAGR
-0.8%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$21.05
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
18.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -370.5% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-0.8%
Your model implies
18.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -1% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| 5.1% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| 6.1% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.5% |
| 7.1% | 23.8% | 22.8% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 19.0% |
| 8.1% | 26.7% | 25.8% | 24.9% | 23.8% | 22.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.36
Low vs growth
Net debt
$6.5B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.30
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Kimberly-Clark (KMB) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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