Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$10.14
Method range
$10.14 – $81.24
median $45.95
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $10.14 | -84.05% |
| Exit multiple | $81.24 | +27.79% |
| Analyst target | $74.86 | +17.76% |
| Graham number | $17.04 | -73.20% |
- Forward DCF$10.14
- Exit multiple$81.24
- Analyst target$74.86
- Graham number$17.04
Stock price
$63.57
FCF / share (TTM)
$2.86
3Y FCF CAGR
1.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$67.67
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
1.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 6.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
1.9%
Your model implies
1.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | -1.6% | -2.9% | -4.4% | -6.3% | -8.6% |
| 5.6% | 0.3% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -5.2% |
| 6.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | -1.2% |
| 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$21.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.42
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Kroger (KR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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