Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what KR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$10.87
Method range
$10.87 – $81.13
median $45.14
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $10.87 | -81.11% |
| Exit multiple | $81.13 | +41.01% |
| Analyst target | $71.58 | +24.40% |
| Graham number | $18.71 | -67.49% |
- Forward DCF$10.87
- Exit multiple$81.13
- Analyst target$71.58
- Graham number$18.71
Stock price
$57.54
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.75
3Y FCF CAGR
1.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$16.94
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
17.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -239.7% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
1.9%
Your model implies
17.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| 5.8% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| 6.8% | 19.3% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| 7.8% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| 8.8% | 24.7% | 23.9% | 23.1% | 22.3% | 21.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
1.75
Fair vs growth
Net debt
$21.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.44
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Kroger (KR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks6.62% TTM
- Dividend Profile2.43% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.