MAS dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Masco (MAS) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.17), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MAS sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Aug 21, 2026 (±7 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.17
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.17 | in line with sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.52% | -0.15pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.01% | +0.93pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 10 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±7 days.
Dividend
$0.32
Per-event yield
0.48%
Annualized yield
1.87%
Previously paid
May 22, 2026 ($0.32)
Last record date
May 22, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 8, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Masco (MAS). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.32 | -0.36% | $67.15 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.36% | +3.20% | |
| Q1 | $0.32 | -0.13% | $75.07 | 1 | yes | yes | -13.45% | -4.17% | |
| Q4 | $0.31 | -0.82% | $62.10 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.14% | -1.67% | |
| Q3 | $0.31 | -0.10% | $69.35 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.50% | +6.46% | |
| Q2 | $0.31 | -2.15% | $62.68 | 2 | yes | yes | -4.07% | -1.66% | |
| Q1 | $0.31 | -0.01% | $76.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.69% | -1.04% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | -0.24% | $80.24 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.53% | -1.91% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -2.34% | $76.21 | 10 | no | yes | -5.77% | -4.57% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.35% | $69.25 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.96% | +1.39% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | -0.27% | $73.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.11% | +4.08% | |
| Q4 | $0.29 | 0.05% | $56.42 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.29% | +5.73% | |
| Q3 | $0.29 | -0.25% | $59.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.08% | -4.37% | |
| Q2 | $0.29 | -0.06% | $50.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.55% | +2.93% | |
| Q1 | $0.29 | 0.11% | $52.83 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.82% | -1.77% | |
| Q4 | $0.28 | -1.47% | $45.54 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.02% | +11.16% | |
| Q3 | $0.28 | 0.21% | $53.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.11% | +5.44% | |
| Q2 | $0.28 | 0.74% | $55.75 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.59% | +1.54% | |
| Q1 | $0.28 | -2.03% | $55.08 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.34% | +1.71% | |
| Q4 | $0.24 | -0.65% | $65.72 | 3 | yes | yes | -2.27% | +3.96% | |
| Q3 | $0.24 | -0.29% | $61.95 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.54% | -2.78% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with MAS's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MAS ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.22%
Win rate (20 trades)
95%
Cumulative P&L
+4.33%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+17.89%
Best event
+0.61%
Worst event
-4.57%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MAS (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.38% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.39% | |
| +0.42% | |
| -4.57% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.41% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.50% | |
| +0.43% | |
| +0.48% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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