Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MDLZ is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$26.83
Method range
$13.97 – $67.00
median $44.43
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $26.83 | -56.76% |
| Exit multiple | $62.03 | -0.01% |
| Analyst target | $67.00 | +7.99% |
| Graham number | $13.97 | -77.48% |
- Forward DCF$26.83
- Exit multiple$62.03
- Analyst target$67.00
- Graham number$13.97
Stock price
$62.04
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.12
3Y FCF CAGR
2.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$3.07
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.1%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -1919.2% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.6%
Your model implies
42.1%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 3% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 38.3% | 36.3% | 33.9% | 31.1% | 27.5% |
| 5.5% | 40.8% | 39.1% | 37.1% | 34.8% | 32.0% |
| 6.6% | 45.0% | 43.6% | 42.1% | 40.3% | 38.3% |
| 7.5% | 48.7% | 47.5% | 46.2% | 44.8% | 43.3% |
| 8.6% | 52.0% | 51.0% | 49.9% | 48.7% | 47.5% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$20.3B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.40
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Mondelez International (MDLZ) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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