Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MGM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$1.74
Method range
$1.74 – $43.44
median $16.38
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $1.74 | -96.33% |
| Exit multiple | $22.55 | -52.53% |
| Analyst target | $43.44 | -8.57% |
| Graham number | $10.21 | -78.51% |
- Forward DCF$1.74
- Exit multiple$22.55
- Analyst target$43.44
- Graham number$10.21
Stock price
$47.51
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.61
3Y FCF CAGR
36.5%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$214.86
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
15.0%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 77.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
36.5%
Your model implies
15.0%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 37% annual growth.
Cumulative FCF covers the current price by year 8.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| 10.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| 11.0% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% |
| 12.0% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| 13.0% | 19.6% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 17.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$54.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.28
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
MGM Resorts (MGM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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