Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MLM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$985.61
Method range
$325.22 – $985.61
median $571.50
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $985.61 | +78.99% |
| Exit multiple | $459.09 | -16.63% |
| Analyst target | $683.91 | +24.20% |
| Graham number | $325.22 | -40.94% |
- Forward DCF$985.61
- Exit multiple$459.09
- Analyst target$683.91
- Graham number$325.22
Stock price
$550.66
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.68
3Y FCF CAGR
9.1%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$14.66
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
62.7%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -3,655.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
9.1%
Your model implies
62.7%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 9% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.2% | 58.0% | 56.9% | 55.7% | 54.4% | 52.9% |
| 9.2% | 61.4% | 60.4% | 59.3% | 58.2% | 57.0% |
| 10.2% | 64.5% | 63.7% | 62.7% | 61.7% | 60.7% |
| 11.2% | 67.5% | 66.7% | 65.9% | 65.0% | 64.1% |
| 12.2% | 70.4% | 69.7% | 68.9% | 68.1% | 67.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.01
Low vs growth
Net debt
$5.26B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.10
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.