Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MMM is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$32.83
Method range
$13.09 – $159.00
median $77.62
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $32.83 | -78.65% |
| Exit multiple | $122.42 | -20.39% |
| Analyst target | $159.00 | +3.41% |
| Graham number | $13.09 | -91.49% |
- Forward DCF$32.83
- Exit multiple$122.42
- Analyst target$159.00
- Graham number$13.09
Stock price
$153.76
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.66
3Y FCF CAGR
-28.7%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$1.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
42.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -11547.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
-28.7%
Your model implies
42.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at -29% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.0% | 38.2% | 37.2% | 36.1% | 35.0% | 33.7% |
| 9.0% | 41.1% | 40.3% | 39.4% | 38.4% | 37.3% |
| 10.0% | 43.9% | 43.1% | 42.3% | 41.5% | 40.5% |
| 11.0% | 46.5% | 45.8% | 45.1% | 44.3% | 43.5% |
| 12.0% | 49.0% | 48.3% | 47.7% | 47.0% | 46.3% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
2.12
Demanding vs growth
Net debt
$7.7B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.09
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
3M (MMM) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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