Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.05), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MPWR sits roughly in line with the Technology sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next confirmed ex-dividend date is Jun 30, 2026, with an expected dividend of $2.00.
- Touch rate (30d)
- 95%in line with sector
- Median days-to-touch
- 1din line with sector
- Signal-to-noise
- 0.05-0.11 vs sector
Recovery engine
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.05 | -0.11 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.14% | +0.47pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 55% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -4.50% | +0.12pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 11 | — |
Next ex-dividend
Confirmed by company declaration.
| Dividend | $2.00 |
| Per-event yield | 0.20% |
| Annualized yield | 0.46% |
| Previously paid | Mar 31, 2026 ($2.00) |
| Last record date | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Last payment date | Apr 15, 2026 |
MPWR Dividend Capture History — Last 20 Ex-Dividend Events
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday high at or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | $2.00 | 0.60% | $1002.34 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.60% | +31.19% | |
| Q4 | $1.56 | 0.27% | $923.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.90% | +3.98% | |
| Q3 | $1.56 | 1.31% | $886.59 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.88% | +6.82% | |
| Q2 | $1.56 | 0.20% | $736.03 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.48% | +3.65% | |
| Q1 | $1.56 | -2.08% | $579.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -24.32% | -15.47% | |
| Q4 | $1.25 | -0.18% | $603.65 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.51% | +3.07% | |
| Q3 | $1.25 | -0.55% | $924.99 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.31% | +0.70% | |
| Q2 | $1.25 | 1.20% | $810.70 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.05% | +5.23% | |
| Q1 | $1.25 | 0.56% | $666.49 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.91% | -3.32% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | 0.13% | $636.56 | 1 | yes | yes | -11.86% | -9.67% | |
| Q3 | $1.00 | -0.10% | $441.18 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.84% | +2.62% | |
| Q2 | $1.00 | 0.94% | $527.27 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.65% | -2.35% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | 1.66% | $490.91 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.19% | -3.32% | |
| Q4 | $0.75 | 2.16% | $340.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.29% | +8.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -1.68% | $379.33 | 3 | yes | yes | -15.49% | +4.42% | |
| Q2 | $0.75 | -2.01% | $397.13 | 11 | no | yes | -12.37% | -2.44% | |
| Q1 | $0.75 | -0.37% | $512.21 | >30 | no | no | -23.30% | -15.66% | |
| Q4 | $0.60 | 0.44% | $498.32 | 1 | yes | yes | -14.48% | -6.44% | |
| Q3 | $0.60 | 0.47% | $490.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.34% | -4.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.60 | -0.17% | $374.48 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.95% | +0.81% |
- +31.19%
- +3.98%
- +6.82%
- +3.65%
- -15.47%
- +3.07%
- +0.70%
- +5.23%
- -3.32%
- -9.67%
- +2.62%
- -2.35%
- -3.32%
- +8.21%
- +4.42%
- -2.44%
- -15.66%
- -6.44%
- -4.65%
- +0.81%
MPWR Pre-Ex Touch Time Distribution
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 17 | 85% | |
| 2–3 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 4–5 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
MPWR Dividend Capture Calculator — After-Tax Yield
Pre-filled with MPWR's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
- Gross dividend
- $400.00
- After-tax dividend
- $260.00
- Slippage round-trip
- -$200.47
- Net if price returns to pre-ex
- +$59.53
- Required recovery to break even
- 0.00%
- Per-event after-tax yield
- +0.03%
- Annual if all succeed
- ~1.5%
MPWR Dividend Capture Backtest Simulator
Replay every historical MPWR ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover dots for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MPWR (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.16% | |
| +0.12% | |
| +0.12% | |
| -15.66% | |
| -2.44% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.22% | |
| +0.20% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.23% | |
| +0.16% | |
| +0.19% | |
| +0.15% | |
| +0.14% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.27% | |
| +0.21% | |
| +0.18% | |
| +0.17% | |
| +0.20% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.