Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MPWR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$845.34
Method range
$81.44 – $1,615.00
median $1,168.03
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $845.34 | -42.92% |
| Exit multiple | $1,490.72 | +0.65% |
| Analyst target | $1,615.00 | +9.04% |
| Graham number | $81.44 | -94.50% |
- Forward DCF$845.34
- Exit multiple$1,490.72
- Analyst target$1,615.00
- Graham number$81.44
Stock price
$1481.05
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.65
3Y FCF CAGR
30.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$244.97
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
59.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -504.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
30.9%
Your model implies
59.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 31% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 55.4% | 54.6% | 53.8% | 53.0% | 52.1% |
| 12.0% | 58.0% | 57.3% | 56.6% | 55.9% | 55.1% |
| 13.0% | 60.5% | 59.9% | 59.3% | 58.6% | 57.9% |
| 14.0% | 63.0% | 62.4% | 61.8% | 61.2% | 60.6% |
| 15.0% | 65.4% | 64.9% | 64.3% | 63.7% | 63.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.67
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$1.1B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.69
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation