Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MPWR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$821.04
Method range
$81.44 – $1,686.43
median $1,157.72
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $821.04 | -41.29% |
| Exit multiple | $1,494.40 | +6.86% |
| Analyst target | $1,686.43 | +20.59% |
| Graham number | $81.44 | -94.18% |
- Forward DCF$821.04
- Exit multiple$1,494.40
- Analyst target$1,686.43
- Graham number$81.44
Stock price
$1,398.45
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.65
3Y FCF CAGR
30.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$237.86
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
58.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -487.9% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
30.9%
Your model implies
58.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 31% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2% | 55.0% | 54.3% | 53.5% | 52.7% | 51.9% |
| 12.2% | 57.6% | 56.9% | 56.3% | 55.5% | 54.8% |
| 13.2% | 60.1% | 59.5% | 58.9% | 58.2% | 57.5% |
| 14.2% | 62.5% | 62.0% | 61.4% | 60.8% | 60.2% |
| 15.0% | 64.4% | 63.8% | 63.3% | 62.7% | 62.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
5.66
Demanding vs growth
Net cash
$1.08B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.71
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.