Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MS is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$229.45
Method range
$76.64 – $229.45
median $181.74
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $229.45 | +8.27% |
| Exit multiple | $160.48 | -24.28% |
| Analyst target | $203.00 | -4.21% |
| Graham number | $76.64 | -63.84% |
- Forward DCF$229.45
- Exit multiple$160.48
- Analyst target$203.00
- Graham number$76.64
Stock price
$211.93
EPS (TTM)
$11.00
5Y EPS CAGR
9.6%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$229.45
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
8.5%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 7.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
9.6%
Your model implies
8.5%
Next-year analyst consensus
8.1%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.43
Low vs growth
Net debt
$363.9B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.22
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Morgan Stanley (MS) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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