MZTI dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 95% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Marzetti (MZTI) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 95% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.22), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, MZTI sits roughly in line with the Consumer Defensive sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 4, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
95%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.22
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 95% | in line with sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.22 | -0.16 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | -0.50% | +0.14pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 50% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.62% | +0.37pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 21 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$1.00
Per-event yield
0.94%
Annualized yield
3.68%
Previously paid
Jun 5, 2026 ($1.00)
Last record date
Jun 5, 2026
Last payment date
Jun 30, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Marzetti (MZTI). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $1.00 | -0.44% | $106.47 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.78% | +5.77% | |
| Q1 | $1.00 | -1.64% | $164.80 | 2 | yes | yes | -16.00% | -7.49% | |
| Q4 | $1.00 | -0.97% | $164.64 | 5 | yes | yes | -4.68% | +2.00% | |
| Q3 | $0.95 | 0.00% | $184.46 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.17% | -0.61% | |
| Q2 | $0.95 | 0.23% | $167.09 | 1 | yes | yes | -0.56% | +0.75% | |
| Q1 | $0.95 | -0.35% | $191.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -9.31% | -5.73% | |
| Q4 | $0.95 | -0.56% | $184.60 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.81% | +6.98% | |
| Q3 | $0.90 | -0.51% | $177.59 | 2 | yes | yes | -3.34% | +1.48% | |
| Q2 | $0.90 | -0.97% | $187.89 | 4 | yes | yes | -2.38% | -0.23% | |
| Q1 | $0.90 | 0.26% | $204.61 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.91% | -1.90% | |
| Q4 | $0.90 | -0.48% | $165.90 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.57% | +0.86% | |
| Q3 | $0.85 | 0.02% | $164.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.23% | +5.23% | |
| Q2 | $0.85 | -0.79% | $200.87 | 16 | no | yes | -8.57% | -6.53% | |
| Q1 | $0.85 | -0.50% | $190.20 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.21% | +3.19% | |
| Q4 | $0.85 | -0.39% | $204.33 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.62% | -1.39% | |
| Q3 | $0.80 | -0.97% | $173.29 | >30 | no | no | -4.92% | -2.51% | |
| Q2 | $0.80 | -0.82% | $119.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.46% | +2.65% | |
| Q1 | $0.80 | -0.23% | $165.00 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.97% | -4.59% | |
| Q4 | $0.80 | -0.35% | $150.28 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.13% | +2.46% | |
| Q3 | $0.75 | -0.54% | $175.38 | 21 | no | yes | -4.54% | -2.99% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 12 | 60% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 2 | 10% | |
| 30+ | 1 | 5% |
Pre-filled with MZTI's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical MZTI ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
-0.14%
Win rate (20 trades)
85%
Cumulative P&L
-2.74%
Buy & hold (same sample)
-28.66%
Best event
+0.94%
Worst event
-6.53%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · MZTI (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| -2.99% | |
| +0.53% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.67% | |
| -2.51% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.45% | |
| -6.53% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.54% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.48% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.51% | |
| +0.49% | |
| +0.57% | |
| +0.52% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.61% | |
| +0.94% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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