Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what MZTI is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$185.60
Method range
$34.11 – $238.81
median $162.80
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $185.60 | +72.88% |
| Exit multiple | $238.81 | +122.44% |
| Analyst target | $140.00 | +30.40% |
| Graham number | $34.11 | -68.23% |
- Forward DCF$185.60
- Exit multiple$238.81
- Analyst target$140.00
- Graham number$34.11
Stock price
$107.36
FCF / share (TTM)
$1.80
3Y FCF CAGR
23.9%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$254.22
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
12.9%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 57.8% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
23.9%
Your model implies
12.9%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 24% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| 5.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| 6.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% |
| 7.5% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.9% |
| 8.5% | 20.5% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$106M
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.39
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
Marzetti (MZTI) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation