Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NJR is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$185.04
Method range
$35.81 – $185.04
median $54.66
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $185.04 | +214.27% |
| Exit multiple | $49.65 | -15.68% |
| Analyst target | $59.67 | +1.34% |
| Graham number | $35.81 | -39.17% |
- Forward DCF$185.04
- Exit multiple$49.65
- Analyst target$59.67
- Graham number$35.81
Stock price
$58.88
FCF / share (TTM)
$3.69
3Y FCF CAGR
—
Fair value @ hist. growth
$123.45
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
-1.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety 52.3% vs hist-growth DCF
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 8% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.3% | -4.7% | -5.8% | -7.1% | -8.7% | -10.6% |
| 6.3% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.3% |
| 7.3% | 0.2% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -2.1% | -3.1% |
| 8.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | -0.4% |
| 9.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
PEG
0.08
Low vs growth
Net debt
$3.76B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.52
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
New Jersey Resources (NJR) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks
- Dividend Profile3.23% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History5 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.