Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NNN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$68.20
Method range
$16.13 – $68.20
median $41.77
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $68.20 | +51.69% |
| Exit multiple | $37.10 | -17.49% |
| Analyst target | $46.44 | +3.29% |
| Graham number | $16.13 | -64.13% |
- Forward DCF$68.20
- Exit multiple$37.10
- Analyst target$46.44
- Graham number$16.13
Stock price
$44.96
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.99
3Y FCF CAGR
2.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$16.49
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
15.3%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -172.6% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.2%
Your model implies
15.3%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| 7.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| 8.5% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% |
| 9.5% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
| 10.5% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.8B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.79
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
NNN REIT (NNN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
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