Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NNN is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$67.38
Method range
$16.13 – $67.38
median $42.39
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $67.38 | +37.59% |
| Exit multiple | $37.22 | -23.99% |
| Analyst target | $47.56 | -2.88% |
| Graham number | $16.13 | -67.07% |
- Forward DCF$67.38
- Exit multiple$37.22
- Analyst target$47.56
- Graham number$16.13
Stock price
$48.97
FCF / share (TTM)
$0.99
3Y FCF CAGR
2.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$16.32
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied FCF growth
16.6%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -200.1% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 3Y CAGR
2.2%
Your model implies
16.6%
Analyst consensus is EPS-only — no comparable FCF / share estimate to show on this basis.
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Undiscounted FCF per share over 10 years at 2% annual growth.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% |
| 7.6% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% |
| 8.6% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.8% |
| 9.6% | 20.4% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| 10.6% | 22.5% | 22.0% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 20.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$4.82B
Total debt − cash
Beta
0.78
Vs market benchmark
Frequently asked questions
NNN REIT (NNN) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.