Fair value (multi-method)
Four independent methods triangulate what NSC is worth. The headline is the Forward-DCF intrinsic value at a normalized growth rate; the margin of safety compares it to the current price.
Estimated fair value (Forward DCF)
$248.00
Method range
$61.96 – $343.14
median $250.77
Valuation methods
Each method’s implied fair value per share and its upside versus the current price. Missing methods (no analyst coverage, negative earnings, etc.) are shown as “—”.
| Method | Fair value | Upside vs price |
|---|---|---|
| Forward DCF | $248.00 | -25.06% |
| Exit multiple | $253.54 | -23.39% |
| Analyst target | $343.14 | +3.69% |
| Graham number | $61.96 | -81.28% |
- Forward DCF$248.00
- Exit multiple$253.54
- Analyst target$343.14
- Graham number$61.96
Stock price
$330.94
EPS (TTM)
$11.87
5Y EPS CAGR
10.2%
Fair value @ hist. growth
$248.00
This analysis is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Scenario prices and DCF-style figures depend on your assumptions and data from public filings and estimates. They are not forecasts of future returns.
Implied EPS growth
14.2%
per year over your projection horizon
Margin of safety -33.4% vs hist-growth DCF
Historical 5Y CAGR
10.2%
Your model implies
14.2%
Next-year analyst consensus
4.7%
Model inputs
Move sliders to test how the reverse DCF reacts. Historical-growth markers show where the company has actually grown over the last cycle.
Sensitivity — implied growth vs your assumptions
Each cell shows the per-share growth rate the market would need to justify the current price at that combination of discount rate (rows) and terminal growth (columns). Your selected inputs are highlighted.
| Row axis: discount rate. Column axis: terminal growth.Terminal g →↓ Discount | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% |
| 11.0% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.1% |
| 12.0% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% |
| 13.0% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Filled portion runs from low to today; the dot marks today; the small tick marks the five-year median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net debt
$15.6B
Total debt − cash
Beta
1.26
Vs market benchmark
Annual diluted EPS
Per-share earnings by fiscal year — last 5 years anchor the CAGR reference above.
Frequently asked questions
Norfolk Southern (NSC) Key Financials
Charts, filings, and peer comparison for every metric
Explore more
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
- Buybacks0.44% TTM
- Dividend Profile1.63% yield
- Dividend Calculator
- Dividend Forecast
- Dividend Capture
- Stock Split History3 splits
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.