Northern Trust (NTRS) — Price target calculator
Model Northern Trust (NTRS) stock price with bear, base, and bull EPS growth and P/E. Pre-filled analyst and historical data. Free scenario calculator.
NTRS
Stock price
$152.23
TTM EPS
$8.74
P/E (TTM)
17.4
5Y median P/E
14.7
Market cap
$28.71B
Fundamentals as of (TTM through latest reported quarter).
Scenario calculator
Enter EPS growth and exit P/E per scenario. The chart starts at the current share price (Now) and transitions the P/E from today's trailing multiple toward your Exit P/E over the horizon. Same live price and TTM EPS as the rest of the page.
Implied price path (by year)
Paths start at $152.23 (Now); the P/E transitions from today's trailing multiple toward Exit P/E by the horizon year.
2031 (horizon)
| Price | Total | CAGR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| bear | $190.97 | +25.4% | +4.6% |
| base | $265.74 | +74.6% | +11.8% |
| bull | $328.02 | +115.5% | +16.6% |
Sensitivity (base case)
Sensitivity grid — sweeps EPS growth and exit P/E around your base inputs. Simple mode only; bear, bull, and Advanced (revenue) paths are not included.
Implied share price at the horizon for each combination: EPS growth in the rows, exit P/E in the columns; other settings stay fixed.
| Row axis: EPS growth. Column axis: exit P/E.Exit P/E →↓ EPS growth | 5× | 10× | 15× | 20× | 25× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6% | $54 | $112 | $169 | $226 | $284 |
| 11% | $69 | $141 | $213 | $285 | $357 |
| 16% | $86 | $176 | $266 | $356 | $446 |
| 21% | $106 | $217 | $328 | $440 | $551 |
| 26% | $130 | $266 | $402 | $539 | $675 |
Shade depth: darker fill within the same color band means a higher implied price in that cell (across the grid).
Annual diluted EPS
GAAP diluted earnings per share by fiscal year (from reported statements). Use it as context for the EPS growth assumptions in the scenario calculator above — not a forecast.
Scale: 0.00 to 9.77 EPS; horizontal line at 0. Fiscal years with no row in the database are omitted.
Diluted EPS year-over-year change
Percent change vs the previous fiscal year in this series. If a fiscal year is missing in the database, the comparison is to the prior available year (not necessarily the prior calendar year).
Historical multiples
Each bar is the trailing five-year range (low left, high right). Gray fill from low to today; dot = today; amber tick = median. Low, median, and high are listed under each bar.
Net cash
$44.7B
Beta
1.24
Vs market benchmark
Return drivers (illustrative)
Historical EPS growth and where today’s P/E sits vs its five-year median — same P/E basis as the scenario price paths chart above.
Historical EPS growth
Compound annual growth of reported diluted EPS over the last five fiscal years.
Vs median P/E
Current P/E aligns with the trailing five-year median.
Your EPS growth vs next-year analyst consensus
Same basis for every column: one-step implied EPS growth (next-year average estimate vs TTM). Consensus uses 10 EPS estimates. Δ (pts) is your growth minus consensus in percentage points, not “percent of consensus.”
| Scenario | Your growth | Consensus | Δ (pts) |
|---|---|---|---|
| bear | +9.6% | +16.7% | -7.1 pts |
| base | +15.6% | +16.7% | -1.1 pts |
| bull | +18.9% | +16.7% | +2.2 pts |
Frequently asked questions
How to calculate NTRS's price target?
- Stock price targets use projected EPS × exit P/E. Future EPS = TTM EPS × (1 + growth)^years, then price = future EPS × P/E. This tool pre-fills analyst consensus and historical ranges for Northern Trust (NTRS).
What is NTRS's base case price target?
- With 16% annual EPS growth and a 15x P/E over 5 years based on consensus from 10 analysts, the base case price target for Northern Trust (NTRS) is $265.74, implying about 11.8% CAGR.
What P/E ratio should I use for NTRS?
- Defaults use 5-year median P/E for the base case, 25th percentile for bear and 75th for bull. Adjust sliders for your own valuation view.
What is NTRS's expected return?
- Expected return depends on your assumptions. CAGR = (Future price / Current price)^(1/Years) − 1. This is illustrative only, not investment advice.