NUE dividend capture — median 1d pre-ex touch, 100% /30d touch rate over 20 ex-dates. Next ex-date, event history, after-tax calculator & simulator.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
Nucor (NUE) has touched its pre-ex close within 30 trading days in 100% of the last 20 ex-dividend events, with a median time-to-touch of 1 trading day (limit-order recovery basis). The dividend is below the typical daily price swing (signal-to-noise 0.11), meaning ordinary day-to-day noise can easily exceed the dividend itself.
Versus its sector, NUE sits roughly in line with the Basic Materials sector benchmark of 95%. The sector median time-to-touch is 1 trading day, matching the peer pace.
Historical base rates are not predictions; transaction costs, slippage, and ordinary-income tax on short holding periods can materially reduce realized profit. The next ex-dividend date is estimated at Sep 29, 2026 (±2 days), based on the historical pattern; the company has not yet declared a dividend.
Touch rate (30d)
100%
Median days-to-touch
1d
Signal-to-noise
0.11
TL;DR over the most recent 20 events.
| Metric | Value | vs sector |
|---|---|---|
| 30-day touch rate | 100% | +5pp vs sector |
| Median days-to-touch | 1d | in line with sector |
| Signal-to-noise (div / ATR) | 0.11 | -0.07 vs sector |
| Avg gap on ex-date | 0.05% | +0.42pp vs sector |
| Win rate at MOC exit | 65% | — |
| Median drawdown during hold | -3.00% | +1.94pp vs sector |
| Best / worst touch (days) | 1 / 4 | — |
Estimated from historical pattern ±2 days.
Dividend
$0.56
Per-event yield
0.24%
Annualized yield
1.00%
Previously paid
Jun 30, 2026 ($0.56)
Last record date
Jun 30, 2026
Last payment date
Aug 11, 2026
Per-event gap on ex-date, the pre-ex close used as the touch target, trading days to first intraday highat or above that level, plus 5/30-day touch flags, drawdown and 5-day P&L for Nucor (NUE). For a stricter close-at-bell exit timeline, use the simulator below (MOC mode). td = trading days from ex-date.
| Recovered 5d | Recovered 30d | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | $0.56 | 0.17% | $228.58 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.11% | -0.59% | |
| Q1 | $0.56 | 0.73% | $164.75 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.23% | +10.91% | |
| Q4 | $0.56 | -0.21% | $164.80 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.04% | +2.21% | |
| Q3 | $0.55 | -0.51% | $136.08 | 2 | yes | yes | -1.82% | +0.20% | |
| Q2 | $0.55 | -0.46% | $131.43 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.26% | +6.73% | |
| Q1 | $0.55 | -1.60% | $121.95 | 3 | yes | yes | -19.98% | -13.47% | |
| Q4 | $0.55 | 0.09% | $115.86 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.12% | +2.48% | |
| Q3 | $0.54 | 0.31% | $150.59 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.64% | +0.92% | |
| Q2 | $0.54 | 1.40% | $154.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.89% | -1.10% | |
| Q1 | $0.54 | 0.48% | $194.06 | 1 | yes | yes | 0.27% | +2.88% | |
| Q4 | $0.54 | -0.76% | $177.87 | 4 | yes | yes | -6.29% | -3.80% | |
| Q3 | $0.51 | -0.02% | $155.71 | 1 | yes | yes | -1.52% | +0.79% | |
| Q2 | $0.51 | -0.50% | $161.12 | 1 | yes | yes | -2.76% | +0.83% | |
| Q1 | $0.51 | 1.08% | $149.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -5.76% | -2.59% | |
| Q4 | $0.51 | 0.35% | $134.19 | 1 | yes | yes | -3.26% | +7.64% | |
| Q3 | $0.50 | -0.81% | $106.92 | 2 | yes | yes | -2.89% | +10.65% | |
| Q2 | $0.50 | 0.33% | $107.97 | 1 | yes | yes | -7.26% | +2.80% | |
| Q1 | $0.50 | 0.40% | $150.50 | 1 | yes | yes | -4.98% | -2.33% | |
| Q4 | $0.50 | -0.20% | $114.89 | 1 | yes | yes | -6.50% | +1.92% | |
| Q3 | $0.41 | 0.76% | $102.92 | 1 | yes | yes | -8.86% | -6.34% |
First trading session whose intraday high reached the pre-ex close within the 30-day measurement window. td = trading days from ex-date.
| Touch window | Distribution | Count | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 1 day | 16 | 80% | |
| 2–3 days | 3 | 15% | |
| 4–5 days | 1 | 5% | |
| 6–10 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 11–30 days | 0 | 0% | |
| 30+ | 0 | 0% |
Pre-filled with NUE's next expected dividend and recent close. Adjust tax rate, holding period and slippage to estimate after-tax capture yield.
U.S. ordinary-income rate (22-37%) applies on holds shorter than 61 days. Hold longer to qualify for the 0/15/20% qualified-dividend rate.
Replay every historical NUE ex-dividend with two exit strategies: a GTC limit-order at the pre-ex close, or hold for N days and exit at MOC. Pick the window and quarter filter that matches your plan.
Linked to your history table
These backtests use the same ex-dividend rows as Dividend Capture History on this page — 20 events loaded.
Quarter filter is All — every row in the table above is included here. Change quarter below to match the slice you want to stress-test.
Sell back at the pre-ex close on the first intraday touch within the window. If it never touches, exit at MOC after the window expires (stop-loss).
Figures are gross — before tax, commissions, and slippage. Percents are per-event return on capital at entry (pre-ex close).
Avg P&L per trade (20 events)
+0.37%
Win rate (20 trades)
100%
Cumulative P&L
+7.42%
Buy & hold (same sample)
+126.62%
Best event
+0.47%
Worst event
+0.24%
Cumulative P&L (equity curve)
Vertical axis: cumulative sum of per-event % (same units as the headline cumulative). Hover the line for exact values.
Per-event P&L distribution
20 trades in this sample · bar height ∝ count in each bucket (gross % per event).
Scenario P&L by event · NUE (20)
Scenario P&L — updates with exit mode, window, and quarter. History adds gap, touch, drawdown, and a fixed P&L 5d % (MOC). Same per-row % as that column only for MOC + 5d on the same rows. Oldest → newest, gross pre-ex close basis.
| Ex-date | P&L |
|---|---|
| +0.39% | |
| +0.44% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.46% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.38% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.32% | |
| +0.33% | |
| +0.30% | |
| +0.28% | |
| +0.35% | |
| +0.36% | |
| +0.47% | |
| +0.45% | |
| +0.42% | |
| +0.40% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.34% | |
| +0.24% |
Results are illustrative only and are not financial advice. Capture simulations use historical prices and simplified costs and tax assumptions. Actual fills, borrow fees, and market rules vary. Consult a qualified advisor before trading.
Deep-dives across the income statement, cash flow, capital return, and valuation
How this company returns cash to shareholders — buybacks, dividends, and stock splits.
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